AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 1

Tucson Roadrunners at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Tucson Roadrunners
6:4
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

TUCSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
37%63%
xG
3.03.7
High danger
45
Chances
1014
Shots
3732

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineTUC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal32
10Scoring chances14
4High-danger chances5
2.97Expected goals3.67

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–91–31–00.8–0.8
2nd17–138–83–51.6–2.2
3rd9–101–30–00.5–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ117:28 of the 3rd2:322:32+0.051 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Matt Davis
Shots faced
37
Saves
31
Allowed
6
xGA
2.97
GSAx
-3.03
Jaxson Stauber
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
3.67
GSAx
-0.33

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:34Michal Kunc (1–0)low · 23 ft · beat Matt Davis
  • 1st 8:53Jimmy Huntington (1–1)low · 36 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 1st 13:23Penalty
  • 1st 13:32Lucas Carlsson (1–2)5v4 · low · 37 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 1st 14:42Penalty
  • 1st 14:42Penalty
  • 1st 17:06Penalty
  • 1st 17:06Penalty
  • 1st 18:27Penalty
  • 1st 18:27Penalty
  • 2nd 0:22Penalty
  • 2nd 1:33Jimmy Huntington (1–3)5v4 · grade A · 24 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 7:22Penalty
  • 2nd 8:23Daniil But (2–3)5v4 · medium · 32 ft · beat Matt Davis
  • 2nd 12:47Cameron Hebig (3–3)low · 27 ft · beat Matt Davis
  • 2nd 14:26Anthony Vincent (3–4)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 15:30Penalty
  • 2nd 17:52Penalty
  • 3rd 1:03Penalty
  • 3rd 7:07Daniil But (4–4)low · 67 ft · beat Matt Davis
  • 3rd 17:28Scott Perunovich (5–4)medium · 12 ft · beat Matt Davis
  • 3rd 18:35Penalty
  • 3rd 18:35Kevin Rooney (6–4)empty net · low · 35 ft · beat Matt Davis
  • 3rd 19:41Penalty
  • 3rd 19:41Penalty