Charlotte Checkers at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Charlotte Checkers

2:3

Final / OT

Hershey Bears

The sheet

CLTHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

83%17%

xG: 2.61.4
High danger: 51
Chances: 114
Shots: 2923

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

HER above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 38% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal23

11Scoring chances4

5High-danger chances1

2.61Expected goals1.45

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–8	6–0	3–0	1.1–0.3
2nd	13–5	5–0	2–0	1.2–0.2
3rd	8–9	0–4	0–1	0.4–0.9
OT	0–1	0–0	0–0	0.0–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Clay Stevenson

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 27
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.61
GSAx: +0.61

Cooper Black

Shots faced: 23
Saves: 20
Allowed: 3
xGA: 1.44
GSAx: -1.56

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:42Alex Suzdalev (0–1)low · 30 ft · beat Cooper Black
1st 4:00Wilmer Skoog (1–1)high · 15 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
1st 10:12Nolan Foote (2–1)medium · 11 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
1st 17:10Penalty
3rd 1:52Alex Suzdalev (2–2)medium · 21 ft · beat Cooper Black
3rd 6:53Penalty
OT 0:45Ivan Miroshnichenko (2–3)low · 40 ft · beat Cooper Black