AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, March 3

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
1:4
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

LVUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
51%49%
xG
2.32.0
High danger
44
Chances
89
Shots
2822

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal22
8Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances4
2.25Expected goals2.03

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–73–32–10.7–0.6
2nd5–81–21–00.4–0.5
3rd16–74–41–31.1–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV39:48 of the 3rd10:1210:12+0.015 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nico Daws
Shots faced
28
Saves
27
Allowed
1
xGA
2.25
GSAx
+1.25
Carson Bjarnason
Shots faced
22
Saves
18
Allowed
4
xGA
2.03
GSAx
-1.97

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 18:18Penalty
  • 2nd 0:57Penalty
  • 2nd 10:05Penalty
  • 2nd 10:40Penalty
  • 2nd 10:40Penalty
  • 2nd 10:40Penalty
  • 2nd 10:40Penalty
  • 2nd 10:40Penalty
  • 2nd 19:15Xavier Parent (0–1)low · 37 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 3rd 1:58Penalty
  • 3rd 6:58Penalty
  • 3rd 7:53Nathan Légaré (0–2)4v5 · high · 10 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 3rd 9:35Penalty
  • 3rd 9:48Mike Hardman (0–3)5v4 · high · 22 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 3rd 13:10Oscar Eklind (1–3)low · 29 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 3rd 18:25Penalty
  • 3rd 18:25Brian Halonen (1–4)empty net · low · 160 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason