AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 4

Cleveland Monsters at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Cleveland Monsters
4:7
Final
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

CLETORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
70%30%
xG
3.42.0
High danger
43
Chances
127
Shots
4222

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

42Shots on goal22
12Scoring chances7
4High-danger chances3
3.40Expected goals2.00

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st15–86–32–11.4–0.7
2nd14–83–20–11.0–0.8
3rd13–63–22–11.0–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
42
Saves
38
Allowed
4
xGA
3.40
GSAx
-0.60
Ivan Fedotov
Shots faced
21
Saves
15
Allowed
6
xGA
1.92
GSAx
-4.08

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:50Roman Ahcan (1–0)high · 10 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 16:31Logan Shaw (1–1)medium · 24 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 1st 18:07Roman Ahcan (2–1)medium · 32 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 19:45Luca Del Bel Belluz (3–1)low · 41 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 3:22Penalty
  • 2nd 5:49Michael Pezzetta (3–2)medium · 22 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 9:28Penalty
  • 2nd 12:55Benoit-Olivier Groulx (3–3)high · rebound · 34 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 18:32Brendan Gaunce (4–3)low · 41 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 5:42Luke Haymes (4–4)low · 34 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 6:57Penalty
  • 3rd 7:19Vinni Lettieri (4–5)5v4 · high · 7 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 7:30Penalty
  • 3rd 7:30Penalty
  • 3rd 10:10Penalty
  • 3rd 17:57Benoit-Olivier Groulx (4–6)empty net · low · 27 ft
  • 3rd 18:50Alex Nylander (4–7)empty net · medium · 23 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov