San Diego Gulls at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

San Diego Gulls

2:3

Final

San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

SDSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

11%89%

xG: 1.73.9
High danger: 112
Chances: 718
Shots: 2228

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

SJ above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal28

7Scoring chances18

1High-danger chances12

1.73Expected goals3.93

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–8	2–6	0–3	0.6–1.3
2nd	5–12	1–8	1–7	0.4–1.8
3rd	9–8	4–4	0–2	0.7–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SD	3	2:22 of the 3rd	17:38	7:41	+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Tomas Suchanek

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 24
Allowed: 2
xGA: 3.49
GSAx: +1.49

Laurent Brossoit

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 20
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.73
GSAx: -0.27

Calle Clang

Shots faced: 2
Saves: 1
Allowed: 1
xGA: 0.45
GSAx: -0.55

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:12Patrick Giles (0–1)high · 5 ft · beat Calle Clang
1st 9:42Penalty
1st 9:42Penalty
1st 19:35Quentin Musty (0–2)medium · 6 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
2nd 4:22Penalty
2nd 10:43Penalty
3rd 2:22Oliver Wahlstrom (0–3)high · 6 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
3rd 5:41Tristan Luneau (1–3)medium · 15 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
3rd 13:27Tyson Hinds (2–3)low · 17 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
3rd 16:14Penalty