AHLDashboard
Friday, March 6

Bridgeport Islanders at Hartford Wolf Pack

PeoplesBank Arena · Hartford, CT

Bridgeport Islanders
0:6
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

BRIHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
35%65%
xG
1.82.7
High danger
32
Chances
413
Shots
2229

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal29
4Scoring chances13
3High-danger chances2
1.85Expected goals2.75

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6603000.30.5
2nd61346311.01.4
3rd101004010.50.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
29
Saves
23
Allowed
6
xGA
2.75
GSAx
-3.25
Shots faced
22
Saves
22
Allowed
0
xGA
1.85
GSAx
+1.85

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:12Trey Fix-Wolansky (0–1)low · 27 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 1st 6:25Penalty
  • 1st 9:20Penalty
  • 1st 12:07Penalty
  • 2nd 3:38Penalty
  • 2nd 4:22Trey Fix-Wolansky (0–2)5v4 · low · 51 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 8:22Anton Blidh (0–3)medium · 11 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 8:37Penalty
  • 2nd 15:10Brendan Brisson (0–4)medium · 14 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 17:31Brendan Brisson (0–5)medium · 11 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 2:08Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 5:45Penalty
  • 3rd 7:35Casey Fitzgerald (0–6)5v4 · medium · 33 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty
  • 3rd 9:50Penalty