AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 6

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
2:3
Final / OT
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

WBSSYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
2.72.0
High danger
33
Chances
117
Shots
2623

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal23
11Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances3
2.69Expected goals2.01

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–44–21–20.7–0.6
2nd9–64–21–10.9–0.6
3rd7–113–31–00.9–0.8
OT2–20–00–00.2–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS116:56 of the 3rd3:042:41+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.70
GSAx
+0.70
Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
2.01
GSAx
-0.99

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:33Penalty
  • 1st 4:18Penalty
  • 1st 4:18Penalty
  • 1st 5:05Tristan Allard (0–1)low · 35 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 7:46Brendan Furry (0–2)high · 14 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 14:33Penalty
  • 2nd 1:30Rutger McGroarty (1–2)medium · 21 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 4:41Penalty
  • 2nd 10:30Penalty
  • 3rd 19:37Melvin Fernström (2–2)grade A · 49 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • OT 2:27Penalty
  • OT 3:21Lucas Mercuri (2–3)5v4 · low · 24 ft · beat Sergei Murashov