Grand Rapids Griffins at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Grand Rapids Griffins

2:3

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

GRCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

30%70%

xG: 2.23.0
High danger: 26
Chances: 811
Shots: 2525

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal25

8Scoring chances11

2High-danger chances6

2.18Expected goals3.03

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	5–7	1–3	1–3	0.5–0.9
2nd	3–7	1–2	0–0	0.2–0.7
3rd	17–11	6–6	1–3	1.5–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
GR	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sebastian Cossa

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 22
Allowed: 3
xGA: 3.03
GSAx: +0.03

Zach Sawchenko

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 23
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.18
GSAx: +0.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:47Ondrej Becher (1–0)grade A · rebound · 25 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
1st 6:42Penalty
1st 10:04Penalty
1st 14:08Penalty
1st 15:16Luca Del Bel Belluz (1–1)5v4 · high · rebound · 12 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
2nd 10:05Penalty
2nd 14:47Brendan Gaunce (1–2)low · 19 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
3rd 2:42Penalty
3rd 2:42Penalty
3rd 2:42Penalty
3rd 2:42Penalty
3rd 2:42Penalty
3rd 6:55Penalty
3rd 6:55Penalty
3rd 9:41Gabriel Seger (2–2)medium · 11 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
3rd 10:55Penalty
3rd 11:34Luca Marrelli (2–3)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa