AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 6

Colorado Eagles at Abbotsford Canucks

Rogers Forum · Abbotsford, BC

Colorado Eagles
5:2
Final
Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

COLABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
91%9%
xG
4.01.3
High danger
82
Chances
164
Shots
3819

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ABB above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 37% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal19
16Scoring chances4
8High-danger chances2
3.95Expected goals1.29

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st17–94–22–11.3–0.5
2nd13–37–12–11.5–0.3
3rd8–75–14–01.1–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB30:57 of the 3rd19:0319:03+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jiří Patera
Shots faced
38
Saves
33
Allowed
5
xGA
3.95
GSAx
-1.05
Trent Miner
Shots faced
19
Saves
17
Allowed
2
xGA
1.29
GSAx
-0.71

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:32Penalty
  • 1st 9:24Jason Polin (1–0)low · 16 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 1st 12:09Penalty
  • 1st 19:13Penalty
  • 2nd 8:59Jack Thompson (1–1)low · 27 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 9:20Chase Bradley (2–1)medium · 18 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 2nd 10:03Penalty
  • 2nd 13:30Penalty
  • 2nd 15:21Luke Toporowski (3–1)5v4 · low · 56 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 3rd 0:57Ivan Ivan (4–1)high · 19 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 3rd 2:57Penalty
  • 3rd 10:23Penalty
  • 3rd 14:44Ben Berard (4–2)low · 36 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 17:54Penalty
  • 3rd 17:54Penalty
  • 3rd 18:48Chase Bradley (5–2)empty net · low · 162 ft · beat Jiří Patera