Grand Rapids Griffins at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Grand Rapids Griffins

3:1

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

GRCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

82%18%

xG: 3.11.9
High danger: 83
Chances: 117
Shots: 2621

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal21

11Scoring chances7

8High-danger chances3

3.13Expected goals1.89

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	15–7	7–3	7–2	2.1–0.8
2nd	8–7	2–2	1–1	0.7–0.7
3rd	3–7	2–2	0–0	0.3–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ivan Fedotov

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 23
Allowed: 3
xGA: 3.13
GSAx: +0.13

Michal Postava

Shots faced: 21
Saves: 20
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.89
GSAx: +0.89

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:54Tyler Angle (1–0)high · rebound · 9 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
1st 11:48Gabriel Seger (2–0)high · 8 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
1st 13:33Penalty
1st 20:00Penalty
2nd 3:02Roman Ahcan (2–1)medium · 24 ft · beat Michal Postava
2nd 4:54Penalty
2nd 11:35Penalty
3rd 8:48Carter Mazur (3–1)medium · 22 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov