AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 8

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
4:5
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

LVBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
56%44%
xG
3.12.3
High danger
57
Chances
1010
Shots
3019

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal19
10Scoring chances10
5High-danger chances7
3.08Expected goals2.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–101–31–10.7–0.9
2nd7–44–31–30.8–0.7
3rd14–55–43–31.6–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV213:43 of the 3rd6:176:17+0.026 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Henrik Tikkanen
Shots faced
30
Saves
26
Allowed
4
xGA
3.08
GSAx
-0.92
Carson Bjarnason
Shots faced
19
Saves
14
Allowed
5
xGA
2.30
GSAx
-2.70

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:11Zayde Wisdom (1–0)low · 29 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 1:08Matthew Highmore (1–1)high · 10 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 3:49Penalty
  • 2nd 9:03Gleb Veremyev (1–2)high · 19 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 11:47Jacob Gaucher (2–2)medium · 22 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 13:10Penalty
  • 2nd 14:10Liam Foudy (2–3)4v5 · high · 8 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 15:18Jacob Gaucher (3–3)high · 10 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 1:22Penalty
  • 3rd 3:18Matt Luff (3–4)5v4 · high · 163 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 3rd 13:43Liam Foudy (3–5)medium · 17 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 3rd 18:52Boris Katchouk (4–5)high · 11 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen