AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 8

Texas Stars at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Texas Stars
7:6
Final / SO
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

TEXCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
74%26%
xG
4.83.3
High danger
125
Chances
1813
Shots
3735

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal35
18Scoring chances13
12High-danger chances5
4.76Expected goals3.28

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–74–53–11.1–0.9
2nd12–158–55–22.0–1.4
3rd10–116–14–11.5–0.6
OT3–20–20–10.2–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI116:56 of the 3rd3:042:21+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Amir Miftakhov
Shots faced
37
Saves
31
Allowed
6
xGA
4.76
GSAx
-1.24
Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
2.60
GSAx
-0.40
Arno Tiefensee
Shots faced
6
Saves
3
Allowed
3
xGA
0.67
GSAx
-2.33

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:16Antonio Stranges (1–0)high · 22 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 1st 1:42Cross Hanas (2–0)low · 57 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 1st 6:47Bradly Nadeau (2–1)medium · 14 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 1st 7:49Penalty
  • 1st 11:50Cal Foote (2–2)low · 32 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 1st 14:38Noel Gunler (2–3)medium · 26 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 1st 19:05Penalty
  • 2nd 3:07Matthew Seminoff (3–3)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 6:32Domenick Fensore (3–4)low · 49 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 8:19Penalty
  • 2nd 9:45Juuso Välimäki (3–5)5v4 · medium · 24 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 0:12Matthew Seminoff (4–5)high · 9 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 3rd 2:03Curtis McKenzie (5–5)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 3rd 3:47Michael Karow (6–5)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 3rd 16:20Penalty
  • 3rd 18:31Penalty
  • 3rd 19:17Skyler Brind’Amour (6–6)5v4 · grade A · 28 ft · beat Rémi Poirier