AHLDashboard
Wednesday, March 11

Rockford IceHogs at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Rockford IceHogs
1:2
Final / OT
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

RFDMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
44%56%
xG
2.12.2
High danger
23
Chances
87
Shots
2924

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineRFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal24
8Scoring chances7
2High-danger chances3
2.09Expected goals2.22

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10940100.80.4
2nd7935130.61.2
3rd12512000.60.4
OT0100000.00.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
29
Saves
28
Allowed
1
xGA
2.09
GSAx
+1.09
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
2.22
GSAx
+0.22

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:41Kalan Lind (0–1)low · 14 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 1st 15:04Penalty
  • 2nd 4:33Penalty
  • 2nd 6:03Penalty
  • 2nd 8:51Penalty
  • 2nd 10:43Kevin Lombardi (1–1)5v4 · medium · 15 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 11:38Penalty
  • OT 0:07Jordan Oesterle (1–2)low · 31 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue