AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 11

Iowa Wild at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Iowa Wild
4:2
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

IACHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
57%43%
xG
3.42.4
High danger
75
Chances
910
Shots
3626

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal26
9Scoring chances10
7High-danger chances5
3.43Expected goals2.40

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–141–60–30.4–1.5
2nd13–85–34–11.8–0.7
3rd15–43–13–11.1–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
36
Saves
32
Allowed
4
xGA
3.43
GSAx
-0.57
Cal Petersen
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.39
GSAx
+0.39

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:21Penalty
  • 1st 14:46Penalty
  • 1st 14:48Penalty
  • 1st 16:41Bradly Nadeau (0–1)5v4 · high · 32 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 4:10Nikita Pavlychev (0–2)medium · 10 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 13:41Carson Lambos (1–2)low · 47 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 15:56Penalty
  • 2nd 16:32Gerry Mayhew (2–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 5:17Penalty
  • 3rd 8:18Penalty
  • 3rd 12:10Penalty
  • 3rd 15:35Hunter Haight (3–2)high · 12 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 16:07Penalty
  • 3rd 19:21Jean-Luc Foudy (4–2)empty net · high · 9 ft · beat Cayden Primeau