AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 11

Colorado Eagles at Ontario Reign

Toyota Arena · Ontario, CA

Colorado Eagles
4:3
Final / SO
Ontario Reign

The sheet

COLONTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
29%71%
xG
1.93.0
High danger
24
Chances
69
Shots
2030

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ONT above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% ONT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal30
6Scoring chances9
2High-danger chances4
1.95Expected goals3.04

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–91–40–10.4–0.9
2nd7–53–21–10.8–0.4
3rd9–122–31–20.8–1.5
OT0–40–00–00.0–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Trent Miner
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
3.03
GSAx
+0.03
Erik Portillo
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
1.95
GSAx
-1.05

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:13Penalty
  • 1st 3:17Francesco Pinelli (0–1)medium · 24 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 10:45Penalty
  • 1st 13:08Martin Chromiak (0–2)medium · 23 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 2:24Alex Barré-Boulet (1–2)low · 42 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 2nd 8:02Wyatt Aamodt (2–2)medium · 11 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 2nd 9:19Tristen Nielsen (3–2)high · 9 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 2nd 12:02Penalty
  • 2nd 13:10Penalty
  • 2nd 18:58Penalty
  • 2nd 18:58Penalty
  • 3rd 9:12Glenn Gawdin (3–3)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 18:09Penalty