AHLDashboard
Friday, March 13

Bridgeport Islanders at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Bridgeport Islanders
0:3
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

BRICLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
18%82%
xG
1.83.1
High danger
27
Chances
612
Shots
1825

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 64% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal25
6Scoring chances12
2High-danger chances7
1.77Expected goals3.10

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st41014020.41.1
2nd81127140.71.5
3rd6431110.70.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI310:58 of the 3rd9:029:02+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
3.10
GSAx
+0.10
Shots faced
18
Saves
18
Allowed
0
xGA
1.77
GSAx
+1.77

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:03Ben Steeves (0–1)grade A · 9 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 1st 18:15Penalty
  • 2nd 6:49Penalty
  • 2nd 6:49Penalty
  • 2nd 6:49Penalty
  • 2nd 12:29Penalty
  • 2nd 18:05Brett Chorske (0–2)high · 7 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 18:38Penalty
  • 3rd 2:19Penalty
  • 3rd 2:19Penalty
  • 3rd 2:19Penalty
  • 3rd 10:58Sandis Vilmanis (0–3)high · 7 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty