AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 13

Colorado Eagles at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Colorado Eagles
6:3
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

COLSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
37%63%
xG
2.33.2
High danger
38
Chances
812
Shots
2827

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 41% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal27
8Scoring chances12
3High-danger chances8
2.33Expected goals3.21

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–102–32–10.7–0.8
2nd10–112–70–50.6–1.9
3rd10–64–21–21.0–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD310:17 of the 3rd9:439:43+0.014 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Calle Clang
Shots faced
28
Saves
22
Allowed
6
xGA
2.32
GSAx
-3.68
Trent Miner
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
3.21
GSAx
+0.21

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:29Penalty
  • 1st 10:00Penalty
  • 1st 11:01Ryan Carpenter (0–1)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 6:21Valtteri Puustinen (1–1)low · 34 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 9:12Penalty
  • 2nd 11:06Judd Caulfield (1–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 13:48Penalty
  • 2nd 13:48Penalty
  • 2nd 13:48Penalty
  • 2nd 13:48Penalty
  • 2nd 16:51Penalty
  • 2nd 18:22Alex Barré-Boulet (2–2)4v5 · low · 36 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 19:47Penalty
  • 2nd 19:47Penalty
  • 3rd 0:42Jacob MacDonald (3–2)low · 60 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 6:28Danil Gushchin (4–2)medium · 29 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 8:16Penalty
  • 3rd 10:17Tristen Nielsen (5–2)grade A · 14 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 12:06Penalty
  • 3rd 15:48Sasha Pastujov (5–3)high · 11 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 17:57Sean Behrens (6–3)empty net · low · 152 ft · beat Calle Clang