AHLDashboard
Friday, March 13

Ontario Reign at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Ontario Reign
2:3
Final / OT
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

ONTCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
64%36%
xG
2.92.2
High danger
53
Chances
159
Shots
2824

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineONT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal24
15Scoring chances9
5High-danger chances3
2.87Expected goals2.23

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8832010.60.7
2nd9573421.30.7
3rd111053101.00.7
OT0101000.00.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
2.87
GSAx
+0.87
Shots faced
24
Saves
21
Allowed
3
xGA
2.23
GSAx
-0.77

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:18Penalty
  • 1st 10:37Penalty
  • 2nd 4:22Martin Chromiak (1–0)high · 11 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 8:03Penalty
  • 2nd 8:06Penalty
  • 2nd 10:00Mitchell Stephens (1–1)high · 17 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 2nd 10:37Penalty
  • 2nd 15:10Penalty
  • 2nd 15:10Penalty
  • 2nd 15:53Penalty
  • 2nd 19:41Jani Nyman (1–2)high · 8 ft · beat Pheonix Copley
  • 3rd 4:40Jack Hughes (2–2)low · 38 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 3rd 11:23Penalty
  • 3rd 15:18Penalty
  • OT 2:34Gustav Olofsson (2–3)medium · 12 ft · beat Pheonix Copley