AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 14

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
4:3
Final / OT
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

LVWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
49%51%
xG
2.72.6
High danger
42
Chances
99
Shots
2531

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal31
9Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances2
2.67Expected goals2.60

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–82–11–00.6–0.5
2nd5–111–61–10.4–1.2
3rd11–115–22–11.4–0.8
OT2–11–00–00.2–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV212:09 of the 3rd7:514:38+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Carson Bjarnason
Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
2.59
GSAx
-0.41
Joel Blomqvist
Shots faced
25
Saves
21
Allowed
4
xGA
2.67
GSAx
-1.33

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:31Penalty
  • 1st 8:35Penalty
  • 1st 13:02Ryan Graves (0–1)medium · wrist · 19 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 1st 14:39Penalty
  • 2nd 4:54Joona Koppanen (0–2)medium · wrist · 18 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 7:22Penalty
  • 2nd 8:12Penalty
  • 2nd 10:15Boris Katchouk (1–2)high · tip · 10 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 12:16Penalty
  • 2nd 12:16Penalty
  • 2nd 12:16Penalty
  • 2nd 12:16Penalty
  • 2nd 12:23Penalty
  • 2nd 16:12Finn Harding (1–3)low · wrist · 69 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 3rd 7:40Penalty
  • 3rd 7:40Penalty
  • 3rd 7:40Penalty
  • 3rd 13:48Penalty
  • 3rd 13:48Penalty
  • 3rd 13:48Penalty
  • 3rd 14:47Oliver Bonk (2–3)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 11 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 18:56Lane Pederson (3–3)grade A · wrist · rebound · 26 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • OT 0:28Penalty
  • OT 4:15Penalty
  • OT 4:49Lane Pederson (4–3)5v4 · medium · wrist · 39 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist