AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 14

Hartford Wolf Pack at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Hartford Wolf Pack
0:7
Final
Providence Bruins

The sheet

HFDPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
7%93%
xG
0.93.4
High danger
13
Chances
216
Shots
1336

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 66% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

13Shots on goal36
2Scoring chances16
1High-danger chances3
0.94Expected goals3.44

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3–120–50–00.2–1.1
2nd2–140–80–20.1–1.5
3rd8–102–31–10.6–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Spencer Martin
Shots faced
30
Saves
23
Allowed
7
xGA
2.86
GSAx
-4.14
Michael DiPietro
Shots faced
13
Saves
13
Allowed
0
xGA
0.94
GSAx
+0.94
Dylan Garand
Shots faced
6
Saves
6
Allowed
0
xGA
0.58
GSAx
+0.58

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:34Penalty
  • 1st 10:06Ty Gallagher (0–1)low · 54 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 1st 15:58Victor Söderström (0–2)medium · rebound · 47 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 1st 16:45Penalty
  • 1st 19:44Penalty
  • 2nd 10:50Ty Gallagher (0–3)medium · 18 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 12:15Penalty
  • 2nd 12:26Matěj Blümel (0–4)5v4 · high · rebound · 15 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 12:51Penalty
  • 2nd 12:51Penalty
  • 2nd 12:51Penalty
  • 2nd 14:16Penalty
  • 2nd 16:48Penalty
  • 2nd 17:53Penalty
  • 3rd 0:56Michael Callahan (0–5)low · 57 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 3:04Ty Gallagher (0–6)medium · 15 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 4:14Victor Söderström (0–7)low · 43 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 4:41Penalty
  • 3rd 12:43Penalty
  • 3rd 14:40Penalty
  • 3rd 14:40Penalty
  • 3rd 18:11Penalty
  • 3rd 18:11Penalty