AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 14

Iowa Wild at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Iowa Wild
3:4
Final / OT
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

IARFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
77%23%
xG
3.21.5
High danger
53
Chances
96
Shots
3816

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal16
9Scoring chances6
5High-danger chances3
3.17Expected goals1.47

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–70–20–10.2–0.6
2nd12–43–12–01.3–0.3
3rd18–46–23–21.7–0.5
OT0–10–10–00.0–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Olivier Rodrigue
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
1.50
GSAx
-1.50
Drew Commesso
Shots faced
18
Saves
18
Allowed
0
xGA
1.67
GSAx
+1.67
Cal Petersen
Shots faced
16
Saves
12
Allowed
4
xGA
1.47
GSAx
-2.53

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:45Penalty
  • 1st 7:08Joey Anderson (0–1)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 13:03Penalty
  • 2nd 5:31Penalty
  • 2nd 7:07David Špaček (1–1)5v4 · medium · 11 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 9:57Dominic Toninato (1–2)medium · 14 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 11:30Nicolas Aubé-Kubel (2–2)high · 12 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 11:51Penalty
  • 2nd 11:51Penalty
  • 2nd 12:33Ben Jones (3–2)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Olivier Rodrigue
  • 2nd 14:15Penalty
  • 2nd 16:23Penalty
  • 2nd 18:38Penalty
  • 3rd 3:01Penalty
  • 3rd 5:52Penalty
  • 3rd 5:52Penalty
  • 3rd 5:52Penalty
  • 3rd 9:44Kevin Lombardi (3–3)high · 14 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 11:04Penalty
  • 3rd 13:04Penalty
  • OT 0:39Dominic Toninato (3–4)medium · 8 ft · beat Cal Petersen