AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 15

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
3:1
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

WBSLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
82%18%
xG
1.91.2
High danger
31
Chances
63
Shots
2317

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal17
6Scoring chances3
3High-danger chances1
1.86Expected goals1.24

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–51–20–10.5–0.5
2nd9–43–02–00.8–0.2
3rd7–82–11–00.5–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Aleksei Kolosov
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
1.87
GSAx
-1.13
Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
17
Saves
16
Allowed
1
xGA
1.24
GSAx
+0.24

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:53Penalty
  • 1st 5:06Phil Tomasino (0–1)high · rebound · 12 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 8:17Penalty
  • 1st 8:17Penalty
  • 1st 8:17Penalty
  • 1st 8:17Penalty
  • 1st 10:32Penalty
  • 2nd 3:06Penalty
  • 2nd 10:58Rutger McGroarty (1–1)high · 13 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 2nd 12:07Penalty
  • 2nd 19:34Penalty
  • 3rd 2:53Gabe Klassen (2–1)5v4 · low · 58 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 3rd 13:24Penalty
  • 3rd 19:17Owen Pickering (3–1)empty net · low · 144 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov