AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, March 17

Hartford Wolf Pack at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Hartford Wolf Pack
5:2
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

HFDCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
66%34%
xG
2.92.9
High danger
51
Chances
1312
Shots
2432

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 67% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal32
13Scoring chances12
5High-danger chances1
2.88Expected goals2.85

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st15–88–12–11.7–0.4
2nd4–122–61–00.4–1.3
3rd5–123–52–00.8–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT30:00 of the 3rd20:008:04+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
32
Saves
30
Allowed
2
xGA
2.85
GSAx
+0.85
Cooper Black
Shots faced
24
Saves
19
Allowed
5
xGA
2.88
GSAx
-2.12

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 12:30Trey Fix-Wolansky (1–0)low · 17 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 1st 15:55Penalty
  • 1st 18:48Penalty
  • 2nd 4:59Aidan Thompson (2–0)low · 47 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 5:05Penalty
  • 2nd 6:45Penalty
  • 2nd 11:37Penalty
  • 2nd 11:37Penalty
  • 2nd 12:33Penalty
  • 2nd 12:48Trey Fix-Wolansky (3–0)5v4 · medium · 44 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 15:09Penalty
  • 2nd 17:26Penalty
  • 3rd 1:07Jack Studnicka (3–1)medium · 16 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 8:13Penalty
  • 3rd 8:25Jack Studnicka (3–2)4v5 · low · 36 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 13:03Connor Mackey (4–2)low · 54 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 3rd 13:55Carey Terrance (5–2)grade A · rebound · 22 ft · beat Cooper Black