AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, March 17

Chicago Wolves at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Chicago Wolves
1:2
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

CHITEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
11%89%
xG
1.32.6
High danger
05
Chances
211
Shots
2424

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal24
2Scoring chances11
0High-danger chances5
1.27Expected goals2.65

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–80–20–10.3–0.7
2nd9–110–60–30.3–1.3
3rd9–52–30–10.7–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
2.65
GSAx
+0.65
Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
24
Saves
23
Allowed
1
xGA
1.27
GSAx
+0.27

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:20Cameron Hughes (0–1)low · 39 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 10:25Penalty
  • 1st 17:53Penalty
  • 2nd 2:26Penalty
  • 2nd 5:31Penalty
  • 2nd 15:13Penalty
  • 2nd 17:41Penalty
  • 3rd 5:22Penalty
  • 3rd 7:34Penalty
  • 3rd 16:32Penalty
  • 3rd 18:56Cross Hanas (0–2)empty net · low · 54 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 19:28Noel Gunler (1–2)low · 29 ft · beat Rémi Poirier