AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, March 17

San Diego Gulls at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

San Diego Gulls
6:5
Final / SO
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

SDCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
4.63.3
High danger
106
Chances
1811
Shots
3930

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 65% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal30
18Scoring chances11
10High-danger chances6
4.56Expected goals3.34

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–64–41–10.9–0.7
2nd11–116–23–21.4–0.8
3rd20–88–46–32.3–1.4
OT0–50–10–00.0–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD216:34 of the 3rd3:262:53+0.016 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Trent Miner
Shots faced
39
Saves
34
Allowed
5
xGA
4.56
GSAx
-0.44
Tomas Suchanek
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
3.34
GSAx
-1.66

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:11Taylor Makar (0–1)high · 11 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 1st 4:43Penalty
  • 1st 15:43Penalty
  • 2nd 2:12Penalty
  • 2nd 3:33Nathan Gaucher (1–1)4v5 · high · 12 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 4:45Sam Colangelo (2–1)low · 31 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 5:50Keaton Middleton (2–2)low · 61 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 8:00Matthew Phillips (3–2)grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 8:40Jack Ahcan (3–3)low · 66 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 15:41Penalty
  • 2nd 16:12Alex Barré-Boulet (3–4)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 2nd 18:48Penalty
  • 3rd 0:13Penalty
  • 3rd 16:34Ivan Ivan (3–5)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Tomas Suchanek
  • 3rd 17:44Penalty
  • 3rd 18:12Tristan Luneau (4–5)5v4 · low · 57 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 19:27Sasha Pastujov (5–5)grade A · 50 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • OT 4:15Penalty