AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 18

Cleveland Monsters at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Cleveland Monsters
7:2
Final
Belleville Senators

The sheet

CLEBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
31%69%
xG
3.23.6
High danger
28
Chances
1317
Shots
3731

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 37% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal31
13Scoring chances17
2High-danger chances8
3.17Expected goals3.60

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st15–91–60–30.8–1.3
2nd10–117–91–41.1–1.6
3rd12–115–21–11.2–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL39:19 of the 3rd10:4110:41+0.015 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Mads Søgaard
Shots faced
37
Saves
30
Allowed
7
xGA
3.16
GSAx
-3.84
Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
31
Saves
29
Allowed
2
xGA
3.60
GSAx
+1.60

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:26Penalty
  • 1st 7:29Luca Del Bel Belluz (1–0)low · 36 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 1st 8:49Arthur Kaliyev (1–1)medium · 17 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 1st 17:55Luca Pinelli (2–1)low · 46 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 2nd 0:51Penalty
  • 2nd 1:19Penalty
  • 2nd 1:32Arthur Kaliyev (2–2)high · 9 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 7:13Penalty
  • 2nd 7:47Mikael Pyyhtiä (3–2)5v4 · medium · 39 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 2nd 15:14Penalty
  • 2nd 17:40Penalty
  • 3rd 5:17Luca Del Bel Belluz (4–2)low · 34 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 3rd 5:21Penalty
  • 3rd 5:21Penalty
  • 3rd 5:21Penalty
  • 3rd 5:21Penalty
  • 3rd 7:00Penalty
  • 3rd 9:19Zach Aston-Reese (5–2)medium · 9 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 3rd 16:49Roman Ahcan (6–2)empty net · low · 36 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 3rd 18:17Luca Del Bel Belluz (7–2)medium · 33 ft · beat Mads Søgaard