Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

1:5

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

WBSLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

36%64%

xG: 2.33.3
High danger: 25
Chances: 910
Shots: 3029

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal29

9Scoring chances10

2High-danger chances5

2.30Expected goals3.27

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–9	4–4	2–2	1.0–1.0
2nd	7–8	2–4	0–2	0.4–1.1
3rd	12–12	3–2	0–1	0.9–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
WBS	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	10:46	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kaapo Kähkönen

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 29
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.30
GSAx: +1.30

Sergei Murashov

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 24
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.27
GSAx: -1.73

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 7:54Penalty
1st 14:51Penalty
1st 18:02Penalty
1st 18:11Jared Davidson (0–1)5v4 · medium · snap · 31 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
2nd 10:05Samuel Blais (0–2)high · wrist · 12 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
2nd 11:30Sean Farrell (0–3)grade A · rebound · 22 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
2nd 19:12Penalty
3rd 2:55Gabe Klassen (1–3)medium · snap · 18 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
3rd 13:48Joshua Roy (1–4)medium · 16 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
3rd 16:07Florian Xhekaj (1–5)empty net · low · 129 ft · beat Sergei Murashov