AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 18

Providence Bruins at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Providence Bruins
3:6
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

PROLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
58%42%
xG
2.72.4
High danger
34
Chances
1011
Shots
3121

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 39% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal21
10Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances4
2.67Expected goals2.38

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–62–20–00.5–0.5
2nd14–94–42–11.3–1.0
3rd10–64–51–30.9–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

PRO−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
PRO30:00 of the 3rd20:008:29+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Aleksei Kolosov
Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
2.67
GSAx
-0.33
Michael DiPietro
Shots faced
20
Saves
15
Allowed
5
xGA
2.18
GSAx
-2.82

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:44Penalty
  • 1st 16:21Lane Pederson (0–1)medium · 22 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 1st 16:46Penalty
  • 1st 16:46Penalty
  • 2nd 0:25Penalty
  • 2nd 2:05Penalty
  • 2nd 6:29Penalty
  • 2nd 6:57David Jiříček (0–2)5v4 · medium · 17 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 2nd 7:08Brett Harrison (0–3)high · 12 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 2nd 7:45Penalty
  • 2nd 10:02Christian Kyrou (0–4)medium · 24 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 2nd 17:58Penalty
  • 2nd 19:23Penalty
  • 2nd 19:23Penalty
  • 2nd 19:42Joey Abate (1–4)5v4 · high · 17 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 3rd 0:38Matthew Poitras (2–4)low · 27 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 3rd 6:01Riley Duran (3–4)high · 11 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 3rd 7:46Oscar Eklind (3–5)medium · 19 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 3rd 19:36Anthony Richard (3–6)empty net · high · 10 ft