AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, March 18

Chicago Wolves at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Chicago Wolves
4:5
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

CHITEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
38%62%
xG
3.03.2
High danger
25
Chances
1213
Shots
3331

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal31
12Scoring chances13
2High-danger chances5
3.00Expected goals3.21

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–55–11–01.3–0.3
2nd12–135–60–11.0–1.4
3rd7–132–61–40.6–1.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI214:24 of the 3rd5:365:36+0.025 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Arno Tiefensee
Shots faced
33
Saves
29
Allowed
4
xGA
3.00
GSAx
-1.00
Amir Miftakhov
Shots faced
31
Saves
26
Allowed
5
xGA
3.21
GSAx
-1.79

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:19Penalty
  • 1st 10:31Josiah Slavin (1–0)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 2nd 4:57Penalty
  • 2nd 4:57Penalty
  • 2nd 8:32Aleksi Heimosalmi (2–0)low · 29 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 2nd 9:02Curtis McKenzie (2–1)high · 8 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 12:37Harrison Scott (2–2)medium · 12 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 13:05Penalty
  • 2nd 18:38Cross Hanas (2–3)medium · 14 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 19:10Penalty
  • 2nd 19:10Penalty
  • 2nd 19:10Penalty
  • 3rd 2:35Kaleb Pearson (2–4)medium · 23 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 3rd 3:10Penalty
  • 3rd 10:40Charles Alexis Legault (3–4)low · 60 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 3rd 12:54Penalty
  • 3rd 14:24Cross Hanas (3–5)5v4 · low · 44 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 3rd 14:54Penalty
  • 3rd 18:49Felix Unger Sörum (4–5)medium · 11 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee