AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, March 19

Henderson Silver Knights at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Henderson Silver Knights
8:3
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

HSKCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
90%10%
xG
6.62.0
High danger
175
Chances
249
Shots
4419

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0246P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 34% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

44Shots on goal19
24Scoring chances9
17High-danger chances5
6.64Expected goals2.00

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–17–05–01.7–0.1
2nd16–87–45–22.0–0.9
3rd15–1010–57–32.9–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY39:48 of the 3rd10:1210:12+0.015 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Arsenii Sergeev
Shots faced
44
Saves
36
Allowed
8
xGA
6.64
GSAx
-1.36
Carl Lindbom
Shots faced
19
Saves
16
Allowed
3
xGA
2.00
GSAx
-1.00

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:52Penalty
  • 1st 6:38Mitch McLain (1–0)5v4 · high · wrist · 22 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 1st 11:03Jakub Brabenec (2–0)medium · tip · 5 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 1st 13:04Penalty
  • 1st 16:15Penalty
  • 1st 18:07Tanner Laczynski (3–0)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 5 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 1st 19:04Penalty
  • 2nd 0:51Mitch McLain (4–0)5v4 · high · tip · 11 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 2nd 6:40David Silye (4–1)high · snap · rebound · 9 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 2nd 13:03Clark Bishop (4–2)low · 20 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 0:43Penalty
  • 3rd 4:20Penalty
  • 3rd 8:16Martin Frk (4–3)high · wrist · 19 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 9:14Alexander Holtz (5–3)high · backhand · 11 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 3rd 9:48Viliam Kmec (6–3)low · slap · rebound · 65 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 3rd 10:26Penalty
  • 3rd 12:04Mitch McLain (7–3)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 9 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 3rd 12:13Penalty
  • 3rd 12:13Penalty
  • 3rd 12:13Penalty
  • 3rd 12:13Penalty
  • 3rd 12:13Penalty
  • 3rd 12:13Penalty
  • 3rd 12:13Penalty
  • 3rd 12:13Penalty
  • 3rd 12:13Penalty
  • 3rd 12:55Raphael Lavoie (8–3)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 9 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev