AHLDashboard
Friday, March 20

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
2:1
Final / SO
Belleville Senators

The sheet

WBSBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
36%64%
xG
1.72.7
High danger
22
Chances
612
Shots
1929

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 41% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal29
6Scoring chances12
2High-danger chances2
1.74Expected goals2.69

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6723100.60.6
2nd71234110.71.1
3rd3615010.20.7
OT3400000.30.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
29
Saves
28
Allowed
1
xGA
2.69
GSAx
+1.69
Shots faced
19
Saves
18
Allowed
1
xGA
1.74
GSAx
+0.74

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:57Penalty
  • 1st 14:20Penalty
  • 2nd 1:27Penalty
  • 2nd 2:10Aidan McDonough (1–0)5v4 · low · 26 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 15:04Tyler Boucher (1–1)low · 45 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 16:02Penalty
  • 2nd 16:02Penalty
  • 2nd 17:10Penalty
  • 3rd 7:57Penalty
  • 3rd 10:04Penalty
  • 3rd 13:18Penalty