AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 20

Syracuse Crunch at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Syracuse Crunch
5:3
Final
Rochester Americans

The sheet

SYRROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
28%72%
xG
1.63.1
High danger
35
Chances
611
Shots
2132

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal32
6Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances5
1.62Expected goals3.06

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–101–50–10.3–1.0
2nd8–133–32–20.9–1.2
3rd4–92–31–20.5–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ROC−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ROC34:08 of the 3rd15:5215:52+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
32
Saves
29
Allowed
3
xGA
3.06
GSAx
+0.06
Scott Ratzlaff
Shots faced
21
Saves
16
Allowed
5
xGA
1.62
GSAx
-3.38

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 15:45Zac Jones (0–1)medium · wrist · 11 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 1st 19:27Penalty
  • 1st 19:27Penalty
  • 1st 19:27Penalty
  • 1st 19:27Penalty
  • 2nd 4:12Penalty
  • 2nd 5:11Conor Geekie (1–1)5v4 · low · 54 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 2nd 6:39Penalty
  • 2nd 7:50Mitchell Chaffee (2–1)5v4 · medium · 20 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 2nd 9:44Penalty
  • 2nd 11:47Nick Abruzzese (3–1)high · rebound · 8 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 2nd 12:10Penalty
  • 2nd 17:32Penalty
  • 3rd 4:08Conor Geekie (4–1)medium · 10 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 3rd 5:03Nick Abruzzese (5–1)high · 7 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 3rd 13:08Riley Fiddler-Schultz (5–2)medium · 26 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 15:08Penalty
  • 3rd 16:56Carson Meyer (5–3)5v4 · low · 39 ft · beat Brandon Halverson