Hershey Bears at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Hershey Bears

3:4

Final / SO

Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

HERBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

73%27%

xG: 2.62.3
High danger: 51
Chances: 810
Shots: 2525

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

BRI above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal25

8Scoring chances10

5High-danger chances1

2.59Expected goals2.28

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	6–5	1–3	1–1	0.4–0.6
2nd	10–10	5–3	3–0	1.7–0.8
3rd	7–7	1–2	1–0	0.3–0.5
OT	2–3	1–2	0–0	0.2–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Henrik Tikkanen

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 22
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.59
GSAx: -0.41

Mitch Gibson

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 22
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.28
GSAx: -0.72

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:21Andrew Cristall (1–0)low · 43 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
1st 11:32Sonny Milano (2–0)high · 24 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
1st 18:49Penalty
2nd 1:50Liam Foudy (2–1)low · 40 ft · beat Mitch Gibson
2nd 8:46Ilya Protas (3–1)grade A · rebound · 4 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
2nd 13:32Matthew Highmore (3–2)low · 34 ft · beat Mitch Gibson
3rd 7:13Daylan Kuefler (3–3)low · 12 ft · beat Mitch Gibson
3rd 8:28Penalty