Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

1:5

Final

Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

LVCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

22%78%

xG: 2.23.5
High danger: 38
Chances: 712
Shots: 2427

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLT above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 67% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal27

7Scoring chances12

3High-danger chances8

2.20Expected goals3.46

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	3–10	1–4	0–4	0.2–1.3
2nd	11–6	4–2	3–2	1.2–0.7
3rd	10–11	2–6	0–2	0.8–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LV	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	16:58	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Aleksei Kolosov

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 22
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.46
GSAx: -1.54

Cooper Black

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 23
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.20
GSAx: +1.20

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:52Mitchell Vande Sompel (0–1)low · 39 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
1st 2:05Noah Gregor (0–2)high · 11 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
1st 8:15Jack Devine (0–3)grade A · 13 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
1st 13:53Penalty
2nd 2:13Penalty
2nd 3:08Penalty
2nd 10:14Penalty
3rd 7:48Oscar Eklind (1–3)low · 34 ft · beat Cooper Black
3rd 10:50Brian Pinho (1–4)medium · 27 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
3rd 18:44Brian Pinho (1–5)empty net · low · 85 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov