AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 21

Cleveland Monsters at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Cleveland Monsters
2:6
Final
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

CLESYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
44%56%
xG
2.83.3
High danger
55
Chances
1010
Shots
2925

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal25
10Scoring chances10
5High-danger chances5
2.81Expected goals3.26

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–115–22–11.1–1.0
2nd11–94–72–41.1–2.0
3rd8–51–11–00.6–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE30:18 of the 3rd19:4217:16+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ryan Fanti
Shots faced
29
Saves
27
Allowed
2
xGA
2.80
GSAx
+0.80
Ivan Fedotov
Shots faced
25
Saves
19
Allowed
6
xGA
3.26
GSAx
-2.74

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:49Jakob Pelletier (0–1)low · 19 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 1st 5:54Penalty
  • 1st 13:12Penalty
  • 1st 15:14Penalty
  • 2nd 3:41Penalty
  • 2nd 7:02Penalty
  • 2nd 10:16Penalty
  • 2nd 10:37Mitchell Chaffee (0–2)4v5 · grade A · rebound · 44 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 12:38Roman Ahcan (1–2)low · 38 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
  • 2nd 14:33Penalty
  • 2nd 14:33Penalty
  • 2nd 14:33Penalty
  • 2nd 15:40Penalty
  • 2nd 15:40Penalty
  • 2nd 17:34Penalty
  • 2nd 17:41Simon Lundmark (1–3)medium · 34 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 0:18Tristan Allard (1–4)medium · 28 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 3:15Penalty
  • 3rd 6:28Penalty
  • 3rd 9:43Jack Williams (2–4)low · 37 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
  • 3rd 17:48Mitchell Chaffee (2–5)empty net · low · 104 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 18:27Penalty
  • 3rd 19:54Gabriel Szturc (2–6)5v4 · low · 32 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov