AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 21

Abbotsford Canucks at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
1:4
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

ABBSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
49%51%
xG
2.32.9
High danger
54
Chances
109
Shots
2440

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 62% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal40
10Scoring chances9
5High-danger chances4
2.34Expected goals2.94

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–155–22–11.0–1.0
2nd6–152–21–20.5–1.0
3rd8–103–52–10.8–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jiří Patera
Shots faced
40
Saves
36
Allowed
4
xGA
2.94
GSAx
-1.06
Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
24
Saves
23
Allowed
1
xGA
2.34
GSAx
+1.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:55Penalty
  • 1st 11:07Chase Stillman (1–0)medium · 22 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 2:28Brendan Hoffmann (1–1)high · 17 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 2nd 4:48Kasper Halttunen (1–2)low · 33 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 2nd 7:48Penalty
  • 2nd 8:52Anthony Vincent (1–3)4v5 · low · 23 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 2nd 11:43Penalty
  • 2nd 11:43Penalty
  • 2nd 14:00Penalty
  • 3rd 12:27Penalty
  • 3rd 14:05Jimmy Huntington (1–4)5v4 · medium · 21 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 3rd 16:27Penalty
  • 3rd 16:27Penalty
  • 3rd 16:27Penalty
  • 3rd 16:27Penalty
  • 3rd 16:27Penalty
  • 3rd 16:27Penalty
  • 3rd 16:27Penalty