Texas Stars at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Texas Stars

6:3

Final

Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

TEXHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

18%82%

xG: 2.55.6
High danger: 311
Chances: 719
Shots: 2443

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

HSK above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 60% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal43

7Scoring chances19

3High-danger chances11

2.49Expected goals5.59

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–17	3–7	1–3	0.9–1.8
2nd	6–11	2–4	1–3	0.8–1.3
3rd	9–15	2–8	1–5	0.8–2.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
HSK	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	6:26	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier

Shots faced: 43
Saves: 40
Allowed: 3
xGA: 5.59
GSAx: +2.59

Cameron Whitehead

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 18
Allowed: 6
xGA: 2.49
GSAx: -3.51

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:59Jérémie Poirier (1–0)low · backhand · 20 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
1st 10:51Penalty
1st 12:02Kai Uchacz (1–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 18 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
1st 17:53Alexander Holtz (1–2)low · wrist · 37 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
1st 19:33Penalty
1st 19:40Matthew Seminoff (2–2)5v4 · high · wrist · 15 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
2nd 0:10Artem Shlaine (3–2)low · wrist · 23 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
2nd 13:25Jack Becker (4–2)grade A · wrist · 8 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
3rd 3:15Penalty
3rd 9:22Penalty
3rd 15:31Tanner Laczynski (4–3)grade A · wrist · 11 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
3rd 19:04Cameron Hughes (5–3)empty net · low · wrist · 158 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
3rd 19:28Vladislav Kolyachonok (6–3)empty net · low · wrist · 155 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead