AHLDashboard
Sunday, March 22

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
2:6
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

LVCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
46%54%
xG
3.73.8
High danger
87
Chances
1817
Shots
3330

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 67% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal30
18Scoring chances17
8High-danger chances7
3.75Expected goals3.79

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st111147321.11.4
2nd81357140.91.8
3rd14693411.80.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV30:00 of the 3rd20:0019:15+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
33
Saves
31
Allowed
2
xGA
3.75
GSAx
+1.75
Shots faced
30
Saves
24
Allowed
6
xGA
3.79
GSAx
-2.21

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:26Penalty
  • 1st 9:29Penalty
  • 1st 10:02Penalty
  • 1st 11:10Penalty
  • 1st 14:09Penalty
  • 1st 14:09Penalty
  • 1st 14:09Penalty
  • 1st 14:54Mitchell Vande Sompel (0–1)5v4 · medium · 45 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 1st 15:14Penalty
  • 1st 16:25Brian Pinho (0–2)4v5 · medium · 18 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 1st 18:23Penalty
  • 2nd 8:00Penalty
  • 2nd 11:23Penalty
  • 2nd 11:23Penalty
  • 2nd 11:23Penalty
  • 2nd 11:23Penalty
  • 2nd 11:23Penalty
  • 2nd 17:52Brian Pinho (0–3)grade A · 13 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 19:05Penalty
  • 2nd 19:15Penalty
  • 3rd 3:50Penalty
  • 3rd 10:14Penalty
  • 3rd 11:24Tucker Robertson (1–3)4v5 · medium · 16 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 12:19Tobias Björnfot (1–4)medium · 11 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 3rd 14:02Penalty
  • 3rd 14:32Penalty
  • 3rd 16:04Karsen Dorwart (2–4)5v4 · high · 6 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 17:53Riese Gaber (2–5)empty net · low · 74 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 3rd 18:24Noah Gregor (2–6)medium · 22 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason