AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 22

Hartford Wolf Pack at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Hartford Wolf Pack
3:6
Final
Rochester Americans

The sheet

HFDROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
78%22%
xG
3.12.1
High danger
61
Chances
116
Shots
3626

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal26
11Scoring chances6
6High-danger chances1
3.09Expected goals2.10

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–116–13–01.2–0.8
2nd10–53–32–11.0–0.6
3rd14–102–21–00.9–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devon Levi
Shots faced
36
Saves
33
Allowed
3
xGA
3.09
GSAx
+0.09
Spencer Martin
Shots faced
26
Saves
20
Allowed
6
xGA
2.10
GSAx
-3.90

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:38Trey Fix-Wolansky (1–0)low · 14 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 7:35Konsta Helenius (1–1)low · 36 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 1st 9:02Anton Blidh (2–1)high · 5 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 12:49Brody Lamb (3–1)high · 11 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 15:52Penalty
  • 1st 19:45Konsta Helenius (3–2)low · 48 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 1st 19:51Penalty
  • 1st 19:51Penalty
  • 2nd 0:30Konsta Helenius (3–3)high · 12 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 8:47Penalty
  • 2nd 8:47Penalty
  • 2nd 8:47Penalty
  • 2nd 9:18Penalty
  • 2nd 13:29Jake Leschyshyn (3–4)medium · 9 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 2:05Jagger Joshua (3–5)medium · 14 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 11:29Penalty
  • 3rd 13:55Penalty
  • 3rd 16:58Vsevolod Komarov (3–6)empty net · low · 163 ft · beat Spencer Martin