AHLDashboard
Sunday, March 22

Cleveland Monsters at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Cleveland Monsters
3:6
Final
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

CLESYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
44%56%
xG
2.82.5
High danger
25
Chances
129
Shots
2919

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal19
12Scoring chances9
2High-danger chances5
2.81Expected goals2.46

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5513010.30.9
2nd9763111.10.8
3rd15753131.40.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
2.81
GSAx
-0.19
Shots faced
19
Saves
13
Allowed
6
xGA
2.46
GSAx
-3.54

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:52Penalty
  • 1st 4:52Penalty
  • 1st 8:19Penalty
  • 2nd 0:29Matthew Peca (0–1)high · 11 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 2:04Gabriel Szturc (0–2)medium · 12 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 2:54Dylan Duke (0–3)low · 31 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 3:38Penalty
  • 2nd 11:24Penalty
  • 2nd 17:00Penalty
  • 2nd 17:00Penalty
  • 2nd 18:42Penalty
  • 2nd 19:26Jakob Pelletier (0–4)4v5 · low · 35 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 2:17Ethan Gauthier (0–5)high · 12 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 2:36Brendan Gaunce (1–5)low · 20 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 12:50Penalty
  • 3rd 12:50Penalty
  • 3rd 12:50Penalty
  • 3rd 12:50Penalty
  • 3rd 12:50Penalty
  • 3rd 12:50Penalty
  • 3rd 12:50Penalty
  • 3rd 12:50Penalty
  • 3rd 12:50Penalty
  • 3rd 12:50Penalty
  • 3rd 13:15Penalty
  • 3rd 13:43Owen Sillinger (2–5)5v4 · medium · 16 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 18:51Max McCue (3–5)medium · 27 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 19:10Jakob Pelletier (3–6)empty net · high · 15 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 19:25Penalty
  • 3rd 19:25Penalty
  • 3rd 19:30Penalty
  • 3rd 19:30Penalty
  • 3rd 19:30Penalty
  • 3rd 19:30Penalty
  • 3rd 19:30Penalty