Abbotsford Canucks at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Abbotsford Canucks

2:4

Final

San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

ABBSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

21%79%

xG: 2.13.0
High danger: 03
Chances: 67
Shots: 2937

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

SJ above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 62% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal37

6Scoring chances7

0High-danger chances3

2.07Expected goals2.98

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–7	1–1	0–1	0.6–0.4
2nd	8–19	2–6	0–2	0.6–1.9
3rd	10–11	3–0	0–0	0.9–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
ABB	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ty Young

Shots faced: 37
Saves: 33
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.98
GSAx: -1.02

Jakub Skarek

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 27
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.07
GSAx: +0.07

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 7:18Penalty
1st 11:36Jett Woo (0–1)low · 57 ft · beat Ty Young
1st 12:53Penalty
2nd 6:21Kirill Kudryavtsev (1–1)low · 58 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
2nd 12:05Penalty
2nd 13:19Oliver Wahlstrom (1–2)5v4 · low · 58 ft · beat Ty Young
2nd 16:16Penalty
3rd 7:21Quentin Musty (1–3)low · 42 ft · beat Ty Young
3rd 9:26Jack Thompson (2–3)low · rebound · 50 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
3rd 18:00Lucas Vanroboys (2–4)empty net · low · 142 ft · beat Ty Young