AHLDashboard
Sunday, March 22

Coachella Valley Firebirds at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Coachella Valley Firebirds
4:3
Final / OT
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

CVCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
43%57%
xG
2.92.9
High danger
46
Chances
1211
Shots
3528

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal28
12Scoring chances11
4High-danger chances6
2.93Expected goals2.90

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14660401.60.2
2nd7906030.11.3
3rd111055030.91.2
OT3310000.30.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
35
Saves
31
Allowed
4
xGA
2.93
GSAx
-1.07
Shots faced
28
Saves
25
Allowed
3
xGA
2.90
GSAx
-0.10

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:32Lleyton Roed (1–0)high · rebound · 9 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 13:21Ty Nelson (2–0)medium · 12 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 0:37Jayson Megna (2–1)low · 42 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 2nd 0:49Penalty
  • 2nd 7:08Penalty
  • 2nd 13:21Penalty
  • 2nd 17:53Penalty
  • 2nd 18:21Alex Barré-Boulet (2–2)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 3rd 7:27Penalty
  • 3rd 7:37Jayson Megna (2–3)4v5 · high · 14 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 3rd 8:48Penalty
  • 3rd 8:48Penalty
  • 3rd 12:49Oscar Fisker Mølgaard (3–3)medium · 18 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 14:42Penalty
  • 3rd 14:51Penalty
  • OT 3:20Oscar Fisker Mølgaard (4–3)medium · 8 ft · beat Trent Miner