AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 22

Iowa Wild at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Iowa Wild
6:4
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

IACHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
53%47%
xG
2.93.2
High danger
86
Chances
1210
Shots
2430

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal30
12Scoring chances10
8High-danger chances6
2.89Expected goals3.24

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–95–43–21.0–1.0
2nd8–104–43–21.0–1.2
3rd7–113–22–20.9–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI216:43 of the 3rd3:173:17+0.015 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Amir Miftakhov
Shots faced
24
Saves
18
Allowed
6
xGA
2.89
GSAx
-3.11
William Rousseau
Shots faced
22
Saves
20
Allowed
2
xGA
2.32
GSAx
+0.32
Cal Petersen
Shots faced
8
Saves
6
Allowed
2
xGA
0.93
GSAx
-1.07

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:43Dylan Gambrell (1–0)medium · 13 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 1st 4:18Ryan Suzuki (1–1)high · 13 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 5:52Penalty
  • 1st 7:51Penalty
  • 1st 15:28Penalty
  • 1st 16:25Penalty
  • 1st 16:25Penalty
  • 1st 17:17Ronan Seeley (1–2)5v4 · medium · 32 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 19:07Penalty
  • 1st 19:07Penalty
  • 1st 19:07Penalty
  • 2nd 3:58Evan Vierling (1–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 20 ft · beat William Rousseau
  • 2nd 4:09Penalty
  • 2nd 9:36Dylan Gambrell (2–3)high · 10 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 12:09Charles Alexis Legault (2–4)medium · 10 ft · beat William Rousseau
  • 2nd 12:21Penalty
  • 3rd 1:16Penalty
  • 3rd 3:56Rasmus Kumpulainen (3–4)low · 58 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 3rd 9:52Caedan Bankier (4–4)low · 37 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 3rd 13:15Riley Heidt (5–4)high · 10 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 3rd 16:16Penalty
  • 3rd 16:43Dylan Gambrell (6–4)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov