AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 22

Texas Stars at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Texas Stars
2:7
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

TEXHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
9%91%
xG
1.64.1
High danger
211
Chances
316
Shots
2536

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 60% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal36
3Scoring chances16
2High-danger chances11
1.63Expected goals4.09

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st1–120–50–30.1–1.0
2nd10–152–62–50.7–1.9
3rd14–91–50–30.9–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Arno Tiefensee
Shots faced
36
Saves
29
Allowed
7
xGA
4.09
GSAx
-2.91
Carl Lindbom
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
1.63
GSAx
-0.37

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:21Raphael Lavoie (0–1)high · wrist · 11 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 1st 11:21Mitch McLain (0–2)low · tip · 51 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 2nd 1:01Tuomas Uronen (0–3)low · wrist · 29 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 2nd 7:08Penalty
  • 2nd 9:16Penalty
  • 2nd 11:08Kai Uchacz (0–4)4v5 · high · backhand · 9 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 2nd 14:35Mitch McLain (0–5)high · wrist · 16 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 2nd 18:47Penalty
  • 3rd 3:12Raphael Lavoie (0–6)low · wrist · 22 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 3rd 4:37Penalty
  • 3rd 5:25Matthew Seminoff (1–6)5v4 · medium · wrist · 33 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 6:29Michael Karow (2–6)low · slap · 74 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 9:50Jakub Brabenec (2–7)high · wrist · 12 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 3rd 10:49Penalty