AHLDashboard
Thursday, March 26

Grand Rapids Griffins at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Grand Rapids Griffins
5:2
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

GRCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
49%51%
xG
2.42.8
High danger
44
Chances
911
Shots
2430

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal30
9Scoring chances11
4High-danger chances4
2.40Expected goals2.76

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st41023110.40.9
2nd14965321.71.1
3rd61113010.30.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
2.76
GSAx
+0.76
Shots faced
24
Saves
19
Allowed
5
xGA
2.40
GSAx
-2.60

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 13:34Penalty
  • 2nd 1:46Luca Pinelli (0–1)medium · 13 ft · beat Carter Gylander
  • 2nd 2:34Penalty
  • 2nd 3:27Penalty
  • 2nd 4:16Carter Mazur (1–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 6:37Penalty
  • 2nd 16:24Penalty
  • 2nd 16:43Penalty
  • 2nd 17:49Penalty
  • 2nd 18:31Luca Marrelli (1–2)5v4 · high · 35 ft · beat Carter Gylander
  • 2nd 19:59Carter Mazur (2–2)high · rebound · 8 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 2:00Eduards Tralmaks (3–2)medium · 9 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 4:23Wojciech Stachowiak (4–2)low · 31 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 5:38Penalty
  • 3rd 8:20Penalty
  • 3rd 14:48Shai Buium (5–2)low · 65 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov