AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, March 27

Colorado Eagles at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Colorado Eagles
6:3
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

COLCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
89%11%
xG
5.02.2
High danger
93
Chances
236
Shots
4625

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 29% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

46Shots on goal25
23Scoring chances6
9High-danger chances3
4.96Expected goals2.19

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st19–411–15–12.4–0.5
2nd10–93–20–10.8–0.9
3rd17–129–34–11.8–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY39:30 of the 3rd10:3010:30+0.015 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ivan Prosvetov
Shots faced
46
Saves
40
Allowed
6
xGA
4.97
GSAx
-1.03
Trent Miner
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.19
GSAx
-0.81

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:22Penalty
  • 1st 9:00Maroš Jedlička (1–0)medium · wrist · 23 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 1st 12:11Penalty
  • 1st 12:11Penalty
  • 1st 12:11Penalty
  • 1st 12:11Penalty
  • 1st 13:02Penalty
  • 1st 14:43Tye Felhaber (2–0)5v4 · high · tip · 7 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 1st 15:53Clark Bishop (2–1)low · wrist · 21 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 16:04Penalty
  • 1st 19:04Alex Barré-Boulet (3–1)5v4 · low · slap · 28 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 1st 19:23Penalty
  • 2nd 4:32Penalty
  • 2nd 5:24Danil Gushchin (4–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 34 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 6:33Sam Morton (4–2)low · wrist · 55 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 9:52Penalty
  • 2nd 9:52Penalty
  • 2nd 10:43Turner Ottenbreit (4–3)low · wrist · 20 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 11:44Penalty
  • 2nd 12:37Penalty
  • 2nd 13:47Jack Ahcan (5–3)5v4 · medium · wrist · 25 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 14:22Penalty
  • 3rd 6:27Penalty
  • 3rd 9:03Penalty
  • 3rd 9:30Tristen Nielsen (6–3)5v4 · high · tip · 8 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 3rd 14:57Penalty
  • 3rd 17:34Penalty