AHLDashboard
Friday, March 27

Henderson Silver Knights at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Henderson Silver Knights
2:3
Final / OT
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

HSKMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
33%67%
xG
1.61.5
High danger
12
Chances
35
Shots
2220

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 42% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal20
3Scoring chances5
1High-danger chances2
1.57Expected goals1.49

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6513010.50.6
2nd10521100.70.3
3rd4901010.20.5
OT2100000.20.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
22
Saves
20
Allowed
2
xGA
1.57
GSAx
-0.43
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
1.49
GSAx
-1.51

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:56Penalty
  • 1st 16:34Penalty
  • 1st 17:00Raphael Lavoie (1–0)5v4 · medium · 42 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 1st 18:41Penalty
  • 1st 18:41Penalty
  • 1st 18:41Penalty
  • 2nd 5:48Penalty
  • 2nd 5:48Penalty
  • 2nd 5:48Penalty
  • 2nd 5:48Penalty
  • 2nd 5:48Penalty
  • 2nd 5:48Penalty
  • 2nd 5:48Penalty
  • 2nd 5:48Penalty
  • 2nd 5:48Penalty
  • 2nd 8:26Penalty
  • 2nd 8:26Joe Fleming (2–0)high · 17 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 11:16Penalty
  • 3rd 0:21Penalty
  • 3rd 6:24Penalty
  • 3rd 6:48Penalty
  • 3rd 10:24Penalty
  • 3rd 11:38Penalty
  • 3rd 11:38Joey Willis (2–1)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 3rd 15:12Jordan Oesterle (2–2)low · 51 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • OT 1:55Jake Lucchini (2–3)low · 35 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead