AHLDashboard
Saturday, March 28

Charlotte Checkers at Hartford Wolf Pack

PeoplesBank Arena · Hartford, CT

Charlotte Checkers
2:1
Final / OT
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

CLTHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
3.52.3
High danger
72
Chances
129
Shots
2926

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 39% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal26
12Scoring chances9
7High-danger chances2
3.51Expected goals2.27

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11652401.50.5
2nd6742211.10.7
3rd101125110.71.0
OT2210000.20.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
29
Saves
27
Allowed
2
xGA
3.51
GSAx
+1.51
Shots faced
26
Saves
25
Allowed
1
xGA
2.27
GSAx
+1.27

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:02Penalty
  • 1st 6:18Penalty
  • 1st 8:17Brian Pinho (1–0)4v5 · grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 1st 9:34Penalty
  • 1st 10:20Penalty
  • 1st 10:20Penalty
  • 1st 10:58Bryce McConnell-Barker (1–1)5v4 · medium · 32 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 1st 16:28Penalty
  • 1st 17:31Penalty
  • 2nd 7:56Penalty
  • 2nd 12:09Penalty
  • 2nd 13:46Penalty
  • 2nd 16:34Penalty
  • 2nd 18:48Penalty
  • 3rd 12:31Penalty
  • OT 4:52Brian Pinho (2–1)medium · 17 ft · beat Callum Tung