AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, March 28

Rochester Americans at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Rochester Americans
3:5
Final
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

ROCSYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
37%63%
xG
2.32.9
High danger
33
Chances
611
Shots
3231

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 60% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal31
6Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances3
2.32Expected goals2.85

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–174–42–21.3–1.5
2nd7–61–21–00.4–0.4
3rd11–81–50–10.6–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ROC−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ROC116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ryan Fanti
Shots faced
32
Saves
29
Allowed
3
xGA
2.32
GSAx
-0.68
Scott Ratzlaff
Shots faced
31
Saves
26
Allowed
5
xGA
2.85
GSAx
-2.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:23Penalty
  • 1st 0:39Jakob Pelletier (0–1)5v4 · low · 57 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 1st 2:25Ethan Gauthier (0–2)medium · 11 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 1st 2:30Penalty
  • 1st 2:30Penalty
  • 1st 3:36Penalty
  • 1st 3:36Penalty
  • 1st 3:36Penalty
  • 1st 4:59Olivier Nadeau (1–2)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
  • 1st 6:11Penalty
  • 1st 15:04Riley Fiddler-Schultz (2–2)low · 16 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
  • 1st 16:51Penalty
  • 1st 16:54Zac Jones (3–2)5v4 · low · 39 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
  • 1st 19:06Penalty
  • 2nd 19:16Penalty
  • 3rd 5:23Penalty
  • 3rd 6:48Mitchell Chaffee (3–3)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 3rd 12:40Cooper Flinton (3–4)high · 11 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff
  • 3rd 19:59Matteo Pietroniro (3–5)empty net · low · 131 ft · beat Scott Ratzlaff