Utica Comets at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Utica Comets

5:3

Final

Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

UTCCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

61%39%

xG: 2.93.0
High danger: 83
Chances: 1212
Shots: 2528

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLE above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal28

12Scoring chances12

8High-danger chances3

2.89Expected goals2.95

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–12	4–5	3–2	0.9–1.5
2nd	13–12	7–5	4–0	1.7–1.1
3rd	4–4	1–2	1–1	0.3–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Málek

Shots faced: 28
Saves: 25
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.95
GSAx: -0.05

Zach Sawchenko

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 20
Allowed: 5
xGA: 2.89
GSAx: -2.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:36Tate Singleton (0–1)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Jakub Málek
1st 3:31Penalty
1st 8:48Penalty
1st 13:13Nathan Légaré (1–1)high · tip · 14 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
1st 14:37Penalty
2nd 1:34Matyas Melovsky (2–1)high · backhand · 20 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
2nd 4:13Penalty
2nd 10:00Cam Squires (3–1)grade A · 8 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
2nd 11:17Ryan Schmelzer (4–1)high · 16 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
2nd 14:28Penalty
2nd 14:42Luca Pinelli (4–2)5v4 · low · 44 ft · beat Jakub Málek
3rd 0:32Penalty
3rd 1:38Mikael Pyyhtiä (4–3)4v5 · high · 14 ft · beat Jakub Málek
3rd 13:09Penalty
3rd 13:09Penalty
3rd 18:55Marc McLaughlin (5–3)empty net · low · 73 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko